Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast.

Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most likely to give the winner their 270th Electoral College vote. Use the table ...

With a debate and a second assassination attempt in the rearview mirror, the Harris-Trump contest is by any measure too close ...

The latest news and live updates on the 2024 election. Follow the Trump-Vance and Harris-Walz campaigns ahead of the ...

The election has "gone from a drastic landslide in Trump's direction to a drastic landslide for Harris," marvels Northwestern ...

With eight weeks to go until election day, the debate will help undecided voters form their opinions on who they'll vote for ...

"what-if" interactive lets you pick the winner of each state and see how it would shift the range of outcomes in our 2024 presidential election forecast.

We’re less than 50 days out from the 2024 presidential election and for weeks, the polls have shown Vice President Kamala ...

Everything you need to know about the 2024 presidential election, from updated odds and predictions to the latest polls and ...

Odds for Donald Trump winning the presidential election have changed significantly after his first debates. Where he stands ...

How can two polls say two different things? And can you even trust polls, anyway? Here at 538, we cover polls year-round, so ...

After running neck-and-neck with Trump, Harris is ahead in all polls now, according to realclearpolling.com. Harris enjoys a ...