According to pollster Nate Silver 's forecast, Vice President Kamala Harris now has a 50 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to former President Donald Trump 's 49.6 percent. It also notes ...

National polls indicate a tight presidential race on Election Day. How accurate are the polls, and when will we know who won?

Here are the current Georgia polling numbers: Trump's lead in polling has steadily increased in 538 polling since Oct. 11, when he led by only 0.8% in Georgia. FiveThirtyEight: Trump 48.6% ...

And the firm did so explicitly, openly, and proudly. It all went down in mid-September, at a time when the FiveThirtyEight polling averages showed the slightest of leads for Kamala Harris in North ...

Despite the overall 1.5% advantage from FiveThirtyEight, polling within the collection of surveys varies as to which candidate has the advantage. For instance, an AtlasIntel survey of 1,411 of ...

FiveThirtyEight’s new polling average shows Trump leading Harris by less than half of one percentage point in Pennsylvania, so the race, which was already viewed as a statistical tie, could now ...

Here are the latest polls on Nov. 5, 2024: ABC News project 538: The final poll shows Harris with a 48.1% to 46.8% edge over Trump. 270towin: Showing a composite of the latest national polls, Harris ...

The race between Trump and Harris is tight in key 2024 swing states, with polls showing a near tie in crucial Pennsylvania.

and how the candidates are polling in several swing states. As of Oct. 11, Ohio's FiveThirtyEight polling average shows Trump leading by over 7 points. Trump sits at 51.3%, while Harris closely ...

Polling pundit Nate Silver said his “gut” tells him Donald Trump will win the presidential election. Silver, founder of the FiveThirtyEight polling analysis site, emphasized that his model has reduced ...

But a close examination of the polls suggests the Harris-Trump race is still a dead heat, even if it’s possible to discern distinct trends out of the data. Using the FiveThirtyEight polling ...

PHILADELPHIA — Former President Donald Trump’s polling average has pulled ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in FiveThirtyEight’s polling tracker for the first time in Pennsylvania by an ...